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after you distribute those 41 states, that leaves us with the nine we've been talking about: nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, iowa, new hampshire, virginia, north carolina and florida. that's where the competition will be tonight because those states it's just too close and so now we wait. >> pelley: john, thank you. the biggest of those battleground states are florida, ohio, and virginia. and that is where the candidates have been spending a lot of time since the republican convention. the obama-biden ticket in blue and the romney-ryan ticket in those red dots you see there. we have correspondents in all three of those states tonight and first dean reynolds is in the birthplace of seven american presidents, the state of ohio. dean? >> reporter: good evening, scott, from the statehouse in columbus. you know, ohio started voting early, five weeks ago and 1,787,000 people took advantage of that opportunity, the highest number in the state's history. we noticed today as well that a lot of people are casting provisional ballots, they go to people whose address doesn't match their regis
after you distribute those 41 states, that leaves us with the nine we've been talking about: nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, iowa, new hampshire, virginia, north carolina and florida. that's where the competition will be tonight because those states it's just too close and so now we wait. >> pelley: john, thank you. the biggest of those battleground states are florida, ohio, and virginia. and that is where the candidates have been spending a lot of time since the republican convention....
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nevada has 11.2%. florida has 8.6%. you can go dive in on a state-by-state level as well. finally we've also got a lot of demographic data in here. this, for example, is a breakdown as how the country looks by ethnicity. the more pink, the larger hispanic population. new mexico has 46%. texas has 37%. these are just some of the data sets. whether it's demographic or economic or historical or a little bit of context that you like from the newshour so much. we'll be back. >> ifill: we'll be playing with those maps all night. we can't wait. all of those factors will play into state and local races across this country. back to jeff now now for a closer look at the house and senate contest on radar tonight. >> brown: still with me are christina bellantoni and stuart rothenberg. let's set the big-picture scene on the senate side. of course it's about control in both houses, right? >> sure, it is. at the beginning of this cycle, republicans felt confident that they might be able to win the necessary seats to take control of the chamber. narrowly divided now. they a wide open play
nevada has 11.2%. florida has 8.6%. you can go dive in on a state-by-state level as well. finally we've also got a lot of demographic data in here. this, for example, is a breakdown as how the country looks by ethnicity. the more pink, the larger hispanic population. new mexico has 46%. texas has 37%. these are just some of the data sets. whether it's demographic or economic or historical or a little bit of context that you like from the newshour so much. we'll be back. >> ifill: we'll be...
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or it could be nevada. that would do it as well. the point is, in this scenario, at this point in the race, it is much easier for barack obama to get to the white house than it is for mitt romney. but, again, we are waiting on florida, north carolina, virginia, ohio, colorado, and just a couple more. we'll find out shortly. back to you. >> megyn: bill, thanks. >> bret: that's helpful to give perspective where we are on the night and also with more perspective our panel. we bring them back. brit, juan, kirsten, and steve. okay, steve, wisconsin going to president obama. you are a wisconsinite. >> i am, indeed. well, it was always going to be a tough state, especially recently. i mean, i think there is going to be a big discussion, probably be a lot of second-guessing among wisconsinites, among republicans about how much attention was paid it to wisconsin by the romney campaign should mitt romney should the candidate have spent more time in wisconsin. he went there shortly after the june 5th recall and gave a speech. he was back on au
or it could be nevada. that would do it as well. the point is, in this scenario, at this point in the race, it is much easier for barack obama to get to the white house than it is for mitt romney. but, again, we are waiting on florida, north carolina, virginia, ohio, colorado, and just a couple more. we'll find out shortly. back to you. >> megyn: bill, thanks. >> bret: that's helpful to give perspective where we are on the night and also with more perspective our panel. we bring...
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. >> dana: nevada, your favorite state. >> greg: i love nevada. i spent time in carson city against my will. >> bob: chicken ranch. >> greg: no, bob. i have nothing on nevada. tom arnold is not voting for his ex-wife rosanne as nominee for peace and freedom party. this is your ex-wife. support her. >> dana: peace and freedom party? >> greg: the i want more marijuana party. >> bob: what twitter are you wearing snowear today? >> greg: this is in the spirit of money. i want people start making money and get rich again. that's why i'm wearing this. >> bob: one thing, colorado, other states voting on the legalization of marijuana today. draw the youth vote. >> greg: did they get off the couch? >> dana: can you offer the munchies at the polling booth? >> eric: >> bob: sure! >> eric: throw this out. we will know, we may know the fate of the next president. ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, florida. when you know those, it is pretty, pretty locked in when we know those four. >> dana: here we go. when we come back, we'll check in with campaign carl cameron spe
. >> dana: nevada, your favorite state. >> greg: i love nevada. i spent time in carson city against my will. >> bob: chicken ranch. >> greg: no, bob. i have nothing on nevada. tom arnold is not voting for his ex-wife rosanne as nominee for peace and freedom party. this is your ex-wife. support her. >> dana: peace and freedom party? >> greg: the i want more marijuana party. >> bob: what twitter are you wearing snowear today? >> greg: this is in the...
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the key state to watch are iowa and nevada. coming up next, we are going to talk about the social media buzz and courtney reagan is going to bring us the latest after this. ♪ [ female announcer ] today is not just about who lives in the white house, it's about who lives in the yellow house, the brick, the green, and the apartment house, too. today we not only honor the oval office, but we honor the cubicle, the open-air office and the home office as well. ♪ today is not just about who rides in air force one, it's about who rides in the 4 door sedan, the 2 door hatchback and the v8 muscle car. ♪ because today it's about all of us. and no matter who you are, or where you live, you're the commander-in-chief of your own life. and that's something that will never change. ♪ and that's something that will never change. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in
the key state to watch are iowa and nevada. coming up next, we are going to talk about the social media buzz and courtney reagan is going to bring us the latest after this. ♪ [ female announcer ] today is not just about who lives in the white house, it's about who lives in the yellow house, the brick, the green, and the apartment house, too. today we not only honor the oval office, but we honor the cubicle, the open-air office and the home office as well. ♪ today is not just about who rides...
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i think the keys are going to be as i have said before, the his -- hispanic states, nevada, colorado, florida, i request not be sure. but the hispanic community population in northern virginia, i talked to a friend a couple of hours ago, a huge turn out in northern virginia which is the more progressive part of virginia, fairfax, arlington, virginia, that is a good sign for president obama and if virginia goes early it will be tough for governor romney to catch up. >>neil: when i look at the latino polls that are out, governor, i am confused. nationally the president enjoys strong support with latinos at or where it was in 2008 but in some states like florida, nevada, for example, it is actually down. so, in those states that will be crucial to him piling up the electoral map it may not be there. do you not buy that? >> in never, he will get a very strong hispanic vote. the population there keeps growing. in florida you may be right, there is still a sizable cuban american block that most likely goes republican but i know the obama team and i was down there about a week ago, they have
i think the keys are going to be as i have said before, the his -- hispanic states, nevada, colorado, florida, i request not be sure. but the hispanic community population in northern virginia, i talked to a friend a couple of hours ago, a huge turn out in northern virginia which is the more progressive part of virginia, fairfax, arlington, virginia, that is a good sign for president obama and if virginia goes early it will be tough for governor romney to catch up. >>neil: when i look at...
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i think he will probably take ohio, nevada, wisconsin, iowa and new hampshire. and he has got 236 electoral votes. so i put him at 281. david: now if the president is reelected, he said, out and out he will not sign any tax bill that doesn't have a tax increase. these tax increases are very significant. doubling of the dividend tax. more than doubling of the dividend tax. >> talking about fiscal cliff issues. david: yeah. >> the fiscal cliff, we've all been focused on the outcome of the election. once the election is over and nobody will be happier about that than i am. i guess obama and romney will be happy but i will be number three. then we have to focus on the fiscal cliff. the fiscal cliff is 4%, nominal gdp. and the nominal gdp is about 4%. if you tax the whole thing you go from economy limping along to zero. and that is not good. so they won't pass the whole thing but, i think obama will pass the expiration of the bush tax cuts on those that make more than 250. i think that is going to happen. certain other parts will happen. probably 1 1/2% of the four w
i think he will probably take ohio, nevada, wisconsin, iowa and new hampshire. and he has got 236 electoral votes. so i put him at 281. david: now if the president is reelected, he said, out and out he will not sign any tax bill that doesn't have a tax increase. these tax increases are very significant. doubling of the dividend tax. more than doubling of the dividend tax. >> talking about fiscal cliff issues. david: yeah. >> the fiscal cliff, we've all been focused on the outcome of...
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iowa and nevada have been put away. i don't think new hampshire and wisconsin have. but i think that's reflect in that poll. the second that's occurred is every single poll i've seen shows more optimism about the economy than there was a month ago. not people aren't off the charts mind you, but a third of the people think the economy is in good shape. another 20% think it's getting in better shape and those are better numbers than the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john harris, and pennsylvania. >> it looks like florida is most likely in romney's camp. not certain. it seems to me that if obama wins florida he's going to win a bunch of other states and we'll have a map that looks more like 2008 than we've been thinking this last month or so where hi would win most of the state he is won in 2008 minus north carolina and indiana. that's an early night for us all. althoughs pennsylvania better than i do. i don't think it's been awe thenltally in play. i think there was a series of head fakes going on but that's never been a central battleground. >> rose: mark
iowa and nevada have been put away. i don't think new hampshire and wisconsin have. but i think that's reflect in that poll. the second that's occurred is every single poll i've seen shows more optimism about the economy than there was a month ago. not people aren't off the charts mind you, but a third of the people think the economy is in good shape. another 20% think it's getting in better shape and those are better numbers than the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john...
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. >>> nevada is another state to watch. las vegas has had more political tv ads than any other city in the nation. and the candidates have been stumping there every single week. jane wells is stomping the ground there is as well. jane? >> reporter: i'm outside caesars palace, las vegas is packed, obviously everybody voted early or not voting at all we talk about nevada, we talk about the gaming companies and some ceos have contributed to mitt romney. all of them have contributed to state republican races, las vegas sands, mgm resorts, wynn, caesars. off the strip in a state with the highest unemployment rate in the nation, one wealthy co is spending his money on a bold, private gamble on job creation. >> this is our newest zap poe's office building. >> reporter: online shoe retailer zap poes, based in henderson, nevada, is running to a generally run down area north of the strip, better known for tattoo parlors than glitz. ceo tony shea taken over several floors in a condo in that neighborhood. he is planning to invest $350
. >>> nevada is another state to watch. las vegas has had more political tv ads than any other city in the nation. and the candidates have been stumping there every single week. jane wells is stomping the ground there is as well. jane? >> reporter: i'm outside caesars palace, las vegas is packed, obviously everybody voted early or not voting at all we talk about nevada, we talk about the gaming companies and some ceos have contributed to mitt romney. all of them have contributed...
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here's a look where polls close at 10:00 eastern, iowa, montana, nevada and utah. humans -- even when we cross our t's and dot our i's, we still run into problems. namely, other humans. which is why, at liberty mutual insurance, auto policies come with new car replacement and accident forgiveness if you qualify. see what else comes standard at libertymutual.com. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? [ male announcer ] the way it moves. the way it cleans. everything about the oral-b power brush is simply revolutionary. oral-b power brushes oscillate, rotate and even pulsate to gently loosen and break up that sticky plaque with more brush movements than manual brushes and even up to 50% more than leading sonic technology brushes for a superior clean. oral-b power brushes. go to oralb.com fothe latest offers. yeah, the cisco ucsc series server, with the intel xeon processors, help us scale smoothly, like a perfect golf swing. how was it before? clunky and full of unnecessary impediments. like charles' swing. i heard that. >>> no matter what the
here's a look where polls close at 10:00 eastern, iowa, montana, nevada and utah. humans -- even when we cross our t's and dot our i's, we still run into problems. namely, other humans. which is why, at liberty mutual insurance, auto policies come with new car replacement and accident forgiveness if you qualify. see what else comes standard at libertymutual.com. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? [ male announcer ] the way it moves. the way it cleans. everything about...
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say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >> yes. >> they do? >> he is ahead in all three. in fact of the nine swing states, tyler, mitt romney has a clear lead only in the state of north carolina. he is even with president obama in florida and many strategists in both parties believe florida will go to mitt romney but he has got to get a lot more than that. >> john harwood, thank you very much. as john outlined it is very difficult for either candidate, frankly, to get to that magic 270 number without the state of ohio and here's video evidence from cleveland as to how important it is. both the romney and the biden campaign planes making stops at the cleveland hopkins airport and holding last-minute appearances in the state. our senior correspondent scott cohn is in the buckeye state, a state with the state of the economy actually cuts both ways. scott? >> yeah, it does, tyler. first, a look at how th
say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >> yes. >> they do? >> he is ahead in all three. in fact of the nine swing states, tyler, mitt romney has a clear lead only in the state of north carolina. he is even with president obama in florida and many strategists in both parties believe florida will go to mitt romney but he has...
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states and different surveys of those battleground states president obama is holding small advantages in nevada ohio iowa and wisconsin i guess we have to explain to our international viewers why is it that we're talking about valid ground battleground states all the time because not all votes are equal in the us india like to a college system some votes are never counted it's a winner take all system where if a candidate loses a state they get zero alike troll votes from that state doesn't matter how many people voted for them in that state i was at a coffee shop this morning talking to people as i often do and there was a young man a democrat from texas who voted for president obama by mail having requested an absentee ballot he went to all the people who work knowing perfectly well that he's vote would not be counted because the state of texas is a solid red state that is republican so all democrat votes there don't count at all in the electoral college president obama will get zero electoral votes from texas and there was another young man in a similar situation telling me how much he would
states and different surveys of those battleground states president obama is holding small advantages in nevada ohio iowa and wisconsin i guess we have to explain to our international viewers why is it that we're talking about valid ground battleground states all the time because not all votes are equal in the us india like to a college system some votes are never counted it's a winner take all system where if a candidate loses a state they get zero alike troll votes from that state doesn't...
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>> looking and nevada, we talked about the third district. but the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed that the democrats would win it, the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. but that is the top of district that democrats, again, should be winning and need to win to do well. overall, on election night, i will be watching the seats that republicans, that we have as republican-favored or that lean republican. that is how far down our competitive race list is. democrats have to start winning and defeating republican members in order to get close to the majority. if they are not winning this heavily-republican seats, they will not have enough. >> let me conclude with this point. if you look at the big picture, the balance of power, and you see where the president is strong and where governor romney is strong, will there be coattails in these states? >> the most impact we have seen in the president's race has already happened. in talkingit is talking to demo. that first debate was fundamentally important not
>> looking and nevada, we talked about the third district. but the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed that the democrats would win it, the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. but that is the top of district that democrats, again, should be winning and need to win to do well. overall, on election night, i will be watching the seats that republicans, that we have as republican-favored or that lean republican. that is how far down our competitive race...
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the two interviews in iowa, colorado, nevada, washington, d.c. that will be virginia interview for him. same going on with the romney campaign. they are actively campaigning all the way up to the very end here. there is sense of optimism among the obama campaign. they say they have had small yet consistent leads in many battleground states. they think it will carry them through the night. they're putting the final touches what will be the election night party here at mccormick place, the convention center in downtown chicago. president obama will be here later this evening. they hope this party will turn into a celebration. we'll know in a few hours whether that is true or not or whether this will go on the next few days. back to you. lori:. tracy: rich is from new jersey. he has the skepticism about him. >> oh, yeah. tracy: i'm so skeptical. i think we have a week before we know. what do i know? >> i packed enough for about a week, tracy. brought a lot of ties with me. tracy: not just the sicilian thing. new jerseyians in general we're skeptics.
the two interviews in iowa, colorado, nevada, washington, d.c. that will be virginia interview for him. same going on with the romney campaign. they are actively campaigning all the way up to the very end here. there is sense of optimism among the obama campaign. they say they have had small yet consistent leads in many battleground states. they think it will carry them through the night. they're putting the final touches what will be the election night party here at mccormick place, the...
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race that i think is looking for difficult to call at this point and should be a good one to watch is nevada. yet another presidential battle ground state. i think at this point, people think obama has a little of an edge there, but the republican, dean heller, has shown ability to get democratic voters, and people think he'll run ahead of mitt romney likely in the state so that's a state where, you know, ticket splitters could actually make a difference in the senate race, and that's been just an incredibly close senate race as well. >> anything that would surprise you coming out of election night? >> i think at this point, although people thought republicans would gain the senate, at this point, i think republicans actually picking up the four seats they need to gain senate control would surprise me. you know, this just had a few different things work against them. obviously, there's been flawed candidates, todd akin in missouri, and richard murdoch, races they were expected to win, and now they both look likely, or especially missouri, looks more likely as a democrat pickup, and so, yeah,
race that i think is looking for difficult to call at this point and should be a good one to watch is nevada. yet another presidential battle ground state. i think at this point, people think obama has a little of an edge there, but the republican, dean heller, has shown ability to get democratic voters, and people think he'll run ahead of mitt romney likely in the state so that's a state where, you know, ticket splitters could actually make a difference in the senate race, and that's been just...
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connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all for the president? >> and not think the voters blame presidents for gas prices. and has been going down. he does have a strong commitment to renewable energy. i think it is awash. >> the hispanic vote turns out. thank you for coming on today governor richardson. dagen: the all-time high by $0.3 per is close. brett baier is here. >> good morning. dagen: what will you look at tonight's the people will not talking about turn out to and states? >> we will have an early sense with virginia at 7:00 p.m. we will have exit poll numbers to give us a sense with ed dead heat depending on ho
connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all...
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fraud and ballot tampering in florida a lawsuit has a ready been filed over early voting suppression in nevada democrats have been accused of registering illegal immigrants and authorities in texas and iowa have already threatened international monitors from the organization for security and cooperation in europe with arrest if they approach voting locations now clearly this is not turning out to be a smooth election day here in the u.s. but this is not something new for the u.s. election system as artie's on associate churkin explains the u.s. system has been. around controversy when it comes to election. you elected me to tell you the truth honesty is the best policy while maybe not in u.s. elections two words define why people hate america double standard on everything in this presidential election season these two words are back in full swing the basic definition of a double standard is a rule or principle unfairly applied in different ways to different people or groups let's find out if this is relevant to the us election system from questionable voter id regulations to shortened early vo
fraud and ballot tampering in florida a lawsuit has a ready been filed over early voting suppression in nevada democrats have been accused of registering illegal immigrants and authorities in texas and iowa have already threatened international monitors from the organization for security and cooperation in europe with arrest if they approach voting locations now clearly this is not turning out to be a smooth election day here in the u.s. but this is not something new for the u.s. election...
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he could also get nevada or iowa. that's six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the polls? >> well of course he's -- he's tied in virginia behind in wisconsin, tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado as well. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today, going to northern ohio cleveland and then going to western pennsylvania which is covered in southern ohio. so the pennsylvania visit is not so much about pennsylvania. it's a little bit about getting both media markets at the top and bottom of ohio. >> how common is it guys to campaign on election day and how effective is it. >> al gore in 2000. he went all around this country campaigning until the last minute. george bush took that day off and the day before largely off. >> it's more a sign i'm coming more important than i'm here. you want to say, here look at me. i'm pulling out every stop to make
he could also get nevada or iowa. that's six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the polls? >> well of course he's -- he's tied in virginia behind in wisconsin, tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado as well. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today, going to northern ohio cleveland and then going to...
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en nevada un estado crucial. el estado de michigan, nos deja con 4 estados que podrÍan definir la elecciÓn despuÉs de miles de millones gastados, 4 estados pueden definir, colorado, ohio, y revisemos cada uno de ellos, en colorado, alrededor de 12% del electorado es de origen hispano, jugarÁ un papel importante los latinos en colorado, en 2008 votaron por obama. antes por busch. y vamos a virginia con 13 votes del colegio electoral, un rol mÁs modesto, y no por eso menos importantes porque cuando son asÍ de cerradas miles de votos podrÍan ser diferencia. florida, mÁs de 16 del electorado hispano, dos poblaciones impuestos, la de puerto rico y la de cubanos en el sur de la florida. 2008 se votÓ por obama. las dos anteriores por busch. y ohio, 18 votos del colegio electoral, 1.5 son hispanos, esos 100 mil votos podrÍan definir la elecciÓn en ohio. >>> muchas gracias, enrique. todos los jos puestos en ese estado de las castaÑas. amplia cobertura en "despierta amÉrica." y por lo pronto tenemos mÁs aqÍi
en nevada un estado crucial. el estado de michigan, nos deja con 4 estados que podrÍan definir la elecciÓn despuÉs de miles de millones gastados, 4 estados pueden definir, colorado, ohio, y revisemos cada uno de ellos, en colorado, alrededor de 12% del electorado es de origen hispano, jugarÁ un papel importante los latinos en colorado, en 2008 votaron por obama. antes por busch. y vamos a virginia con 13 votes del colegio electoral, un rol mÁs modesto, y no por eso menos importantes porque...
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both colorado and nevada tight right now. abbie boudreau in california. >> reporter: good morning, george, i'm at santa monica city haul. take a look at the lines behind me. voters streaming in. a lot of energy in the air. and, of course, here in california, there's not a real mystery that the state is expected to vote democrat. but battleground states like colorado and nevada, those are key states in this election, and people will be keeping a close eye on those states throughout the day today. now, in the last election, those states voted democrat. this time around, it's expected to be a much tighter race. that's why candidates are making a last-minute, final push to get as many people out to the polls as possible where every vote counts. george and elizabeth, back to you. >> thanks, abbie. elizabeth. >>> now, to that abc news exclusive with the crew members of "the hms bounty." the ship that sank off the north carolina coast during hurricane sandy. the survives are now speaking out for the very first time time about their
both colorado and nevada tight right now. abbie boudreau in california. >> reporter: good morning, george, i'm at santa monica city haul. take a look at the lines behind me. voters streaming in. a lot of energy in the air. and, of course, here in california, there's not a real mystery that the state is expected to vote democrat. but battleground states like colorado and nevada, those are key states in this election, and people will be keeping a close eye on those states throughout the day...
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virginia, pennsylvania, ohio, florida, iowa and nevada are all states that harbor a lot of swing voters. so folks here they want to make sure they encourage to vote democrat. >> the main thrust to all day long is to get out the vote obviously. we have been doing this for a while and today is crunch day so we want to get people ensure they are getting to the polls. >> reporter: now last night republicans were just as bessy at their headquarters in contracosta county trying to get the word out about mitt romney and they participated in phone banking and noticed a surge in republican enthusiasm. >> overnight, after that first debate, the energy level and volunteers have soared. and people have started to call and coming in and wanting to help. >> the election is very close. the polls are showing even in the race for rickey gillas within one point. >> reporter: republicans say a come from behind win is doable and they are hopeful and thefeeling among democrats that president obama needs to remain in office because they want him to finish what he started. now we are told here at the democrat
virginia, pennsylvania, ohio, florida, iowa and nevada are all states that harbor a lot of swing voters. so folks here they want to make sure they encourage to vote democrat. >> the main thrust to all day long is to get out the vote obviously. we have been doing this for a while and today is crunch day so we want to get people ensure they are getting to the polls. >> reporter: now last night republicans were just as bessy at their headquarters in contracosta county trying to get the...
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it is another want our people -- another one that is a good one to watch is nevada. another potential battleground state. at this point, most people think obama has doubled of an engine there, the republican, -- has a little bit of an edge there, but the republican, dean heller, will likely run ahead of mitt romney in the state. ticket-splitters could make a difference in the senate race, and that has been an incredibly close senate race as well. >> is there anything that would surprise you? >> all the people thought that republicans would gain control of the senate's -- although people thought the republicans would gain control of the senate for a very long time in this cycle, at this point republicans picking up the four is seats they need to gain senate control would release a price me to get things working against them. obviously, they're acting flawed candidates -- tdd -- there have been flawed candidates -- todd akin in missouri, richard mourdock in indiana. ms. larelle looks more like a democratic pickup -- missouri looks more like a democratic pickup. it look
it is another want our people -- another one that is a good one to watch is nevada. another potential battleground state. at this point, most people think obama has doubled of an engine there, the republican, -- has a little bit of an edge there, but the republican, dean heller, will likely run ahead of mitt romney in the state. ticket-splitters could make a difference in the senate race, and that has been an incredibly close senate race as well. >> is there anything that would surprise...
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the toughest state here to make this se ncenario work would be nevada. it's a state a that a lot of republicans and democrats slightly leans in the democratic category. but it's not an implausible scenario. if nobody got 270 then the house of representatives would decide who the president was, but the u.s. senate would vote on who the vice president was. that means the most likely outcome under this scenario is a romney/biden scenario. >> another scenario if ohio is too close to call. >> here's the problem with ohio. they have a new law that says provisional ballots, and these are ballots that are questioned there, maybe somebody didn't bring an i.d., maybe a signature is off, they will let you vote, but you get put in a separate stack. they wouldn't even start counting them until november 17th. today is still november 6th. so in 11 days, let's say the margin is less than 50,000, there's likely to be over 200,000 provisional ballots cast in ohio. they wouldn't start counting those until 11 days. . they wouldn't start counting until then. it would make 20
the toughest state here to make this se ncenario work would be nevada. it's a state a that a lot of republicans and democrats slightly leans in the democratic category. but it's not an implausible scenario. if nobody got 270 then the house of representatives would decide who the president was, but the u.s. senate would vote on who the vice president was. that means the most likely outcome under this scenario is a romney/biden scenario. >> another scenario if ohio is too close to call....
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polls close at 9:00 in wisconsin. 10:00 brings us iowa and nevada. something else to watch, the margins among whites and hispanics. doesn't the president break among 40% in white voters. can romney hold the president under 70% among hispanics. in our most recent poll, the president was only winning 38% of the white vote but was beating romney by 55 points among nonwhite voters. what is the racial composition of the electorate? it is assumed whites would make up just 7 2% of all voters. if they're right, our republican pollster predict an obama win. able to push the white vote up to 76%. our pollsters believe that would mean a good night for mitt romney. one other thing we will know after tonight whether this election is actually over. both sides have already assem e assembled legal teams to handle any shenanigans. legal battles have already begun over in person absentee voting. the state's democratic party filed a lawsuit on sunday after voters complained of waiting in seven-hour lines to cast a ballot. >>> in ohio democrats are battling the secretar
polls close at 9:00 in wisconsin. 10:00 brings us iowa and nevada. something else to watch, the margins among whites and hispanics. doesn't the president break among 40% in white voters. can romney hold the president under 70% among hispanics. in our most recent poll, the president was only winning 38% of the white vote but was beating romney by 55 points among nonwhite voters. what is the racial composition of the electorate? it is assumed whites would make up just 7 2% of all voters. if...
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>> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just listen to me. listen to these happy progress
>> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does...
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here in the bay area, 3,500 foot snow level and in sierra nevada, 2,500 feet. weather will get perfect for you to get out there and rock the boat. temperatures in the 80s and weather not giving you any excuse to go out there and make your vote count. if you're heading out, mike can help you get out there. >> inspirational music going on and flag waving, look at that. over here, east shore freeway and let's put this into perspective, a lot of cars and this is moving. look at the spacing. you're at the 50s coming down past university avenue and that's great for your commute off the carquinez bridge and toll plaza looks bad for folks not used to it. the fasttrak lane, you can see good movement. all backed up solid without moving and the metering lights show a break, as well. lighter volume for traffic tuesday at the bay bridge, although still very congested. we'll look further south. 880 through fremont and we get congestion, again, slow from hayward inand into union city and into melpedis. we'll look at the other side of the bay with palo alto 101 showing a nice
here in the bay area, 3,500 foot snow level and in sierra nevada, 2,500 feet. weather will get perfect for you to get out there and rock the boat. temperatures in the 80s and weather not giving you any excuse to go out there and make your vote count. if you're heading out, mike can help you get out there. >> inspirational music going on and flag waving, look at that. over here, east shore freeway and let's put this into perspective, a lot of cars and this is moving. look at the spacing....
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most recently we moved to nevada off of be in play list of the leading democratic list as it became clear to the polls and eventually from the early voting statistics that president obama was giving of a pretty strong lead in that state. >> so as the map comes together, what date does the "los angeles times" used to determine? >> we use a mixture of things early in the process. you are mostly relaunching on the public polls as the process goes a long to other things factor into it and one is the reporting that our political staff does. we've had reporters in all of the battleground states as it goes along. we get a lot of information from our reporters and as one's early voting get started, we've been and it's particularly important in nevada i was also important in north carolina we had moved north carolina off of our battleground list because it seemed like the public opinion polls were suggesting that the republicans had a fairly strong lead that it wants the early vote came in, they were very similar to 2008 in which president obama very narrowly won the state. so, we move to north ca
most recently we moved to nevada off of be in play list of the leading democratic list as it became clear to the polls and eventually from the early voting statistics that president obama was giving of a pretty strong lead in that state. >> so as the map comes together, what date does the "los angeles times" used to determine? >> we use a mixture of things early in the process. you are mostly relaunching on the public polls as the process goes a long to other things factor...
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most recently, you were in nevada? >> caller: most recently i was in colorado, nevada the weekend before. >> stephanie: how are you feeling, those are two close states yes? >> caller: i feel pretty good. i'm cautiously optimistic. everyone was slapping me on the back on my way there. everyone is so freaked out over here in california. i felt like i was taking the burdens of my whole state over there. >> stephanie: we feel your pain. i was saying i cannot go to another party because i'm sick of people rattling me and asking you for answers. >> caller: they shake you by lapels. >> stephanie: i don't have any lapels left on my clothes. >> caller: fresh out of lapels! no! >> stephanie: we're all on one side of the part 17 divide, but you literally keep -- everyone says the same thing. how can this even be close? i feel mitt romney is such a pathetic candidate. when joe car borrow drops his head in his hands and says jesus, watching romney. >> caller: to me, what's strange is that he just seems to undefined. it's not so muc
most recently, you were in nevada? >> caller: most recently i was in colorado, nevada the weekend before. >> stephanie: how are you feeling, those are two close states yes? >> caller: i feel pretty good. i'm cautiously optimistic. everyone was slapping me on the back on my way there. everyone is so freaked out over here in california. i felt like i was taking the burdens of my whole state over there. >> stephanie: we feel your pain. i was saying i cannot go to another...
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nevada seems to be leaning democratic. if the president got that, iowa, and wisconsin it would put him at 259. now we get into the dicey area. obama campaign says it's confident it might win them all. say for the sake of argument, and the obama campaign says if he have a weak link it's florida. romney campaign says it can win florida. virginia another one to watch closely. suburbs are key. let's for the sake of argument say romney can eke out a narrow victory victory. 259, 248. what's left on the map? colorado. this one obama campaign says early voting leaves them confident. for the sake of argument give that to governor romney. 259, 257. tiny new hampshire and ohio would decide the election. it wouldn't matter who won this one. who won the state of new hampshire you need ohio and its 18 electoral votes. in this election day and night we'll be watching the bellwether state of ohio. it's been right since 1964. whoever gets that one tends to win the white house. >> cnn covering the election all day long. watch our special co
nevada seems to be leaning democratic. if the president got that, iowa, and wisconsin it would put him at 259. now we get into the dicey area. obama campaign says it's confident it might win them all. say for the sake of argument, and the obama campaign says if he have a weak link it's florida. romney campaign says it can win florida. virginia another one to watch closely. suburbs are key. let's for the sake of argument say romney can eke out a narrow victory victory. 259, 248. what's left on...
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the one place you might want to look here, nevada, florida, north carolina and virginia. those are all potentially in play because they had some improvement in the unemployment rate and if that had not been there, they might have been for romney. i would like to give you a definitive answer. you have the level of unemployment and you have the change. that's what makes this a horse race, simon. >> it's fascinating to see that the way you slice and dice going into the election whether it's turnout or amazing. steve, thank you very much. as the race for the presidency enters its final lap, what about concerns of small businesses? we'll put them on the television next going straight to the source and sitting down with co-founder and co-ceo of warby parker. they make glasses online and they'll open the first store in manhattan very soon. see what they have to say. interesting take. try running four.ning a restaurant is hard, fortunately we've got ink. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back in
the one place you might want to look here, nevada, florida, north carolina and virginia. those are all potentially in play because they had some improvement in the unemployment rate and if that had not been there, they might have been for romney. i would like to give you a definitive answer. you have the level of unemployment and you have the change. that's what makes this a horse race, simon. >> it's fascinating to see that the way you slice and dice going into the election whether it's...
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he could also get nevada or iowa. that's one, two, three, four, five, six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the poll? >> well, of course he's -- it's tied in virginia. he's behind in wisconsin. tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa, which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today. he's going to northern ohio, cleveland, and then he's going to western pennsylvania, which is covered in southern ohio. so the pennsylvania visit is not so much about pennsylvania. it is a little bit about it, but it's about getting both media markets at the top and bottom of ohio. >> how common is it to campaign on election day and how effective is it? >> remember al gore in 2000. al gore went all around this country campaigning at the very last minute. george w. bush took that day off and the day before largely off. al gore's late surge made that a very close election, a
he could also get nevada or iowa. that's one, two, three, four, five, six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the poll? >> well, of course he's -- it's tied in virginia. he's behind in wisconsin. tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa, which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today. he's going to northern...
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let's say potentially that romney gets nevada. and that romney gets wisconsin. right? look at that 273. that would be how mitt romney would do it. again, it could happen. it could not happen. i mean when you look at the polls. the polls are leaning toward the president at this poix. but those are still toss-up states. there's another way to do it, too. what if this reliably blue state is not blue anymore but turns red. you know mitt romney is spending part of today in pittsburgh. he'll have, you know, access to the tv markets of eastern person -- western pennsylvania and eastern ohio. what if that turned red? that would put romney over the top, as well. >> those are two potential hypothetical ways to the presidency without ohio for mitt romney. >> fascinating. we've been really focused on ohio. it is doable without ohio, i'm sure that the romney campaign has been crunching that very path. >> oh, yes. >> christine, thank you. still ahead this morning on "starting point." today's election will not only decide who's going to be president of the united states for the next
let's say potentially that romney gets nevada. and that romney gets wisconsin. right? look at that 273. that would be how mitt romney would do it. again, it could happen. it could not happen. i mean when you look at the polls. the polls are leaning toward the president at this poix. but those are still toss-up states. there's another way to do it, too. what if this reliably blue state is not blue anymore but turns red. you know mitt romney is spending part of today in pittsburgh. he'll have,...
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it's not very implausible, and, yes, we know that right now the president seems like a favorite in nevada, and that's what makes this less likely than what most folks think, but between that and don't forget you've got congressional districts in nebraska and maine. the point is if you remember how we started this campaign which was the state of iowa decided by eight votes between rick santorum and mitt romney and then oh, by the way the results flipped two weeks later, i've always worried that that was foreshadowing this nightmare scenario. >> as you talk to us, chuck, i want to note that vice president biden is waiting in line to vote in delaware this morning. we'll keep an eye on that as you and i continue to talk. >> reporter: speaking of vice president biden. under this scenario and people are wondering if you don't get to 270, this would go to the house, so the house would elect the president. the senate would elect the vice president, so under this scenario your most likely outcome romney/biden. >> then we'll know we're in an alternate reality. chuck, let's move on to florida. if it
it's not very implausible, and, yes, we know that right now the president seems like a favorite in nevada, and that's what makes this less likely than what most folks think, but between that and don't forget you've got congressional districts in nebraska and maine. the point is if you remember how we started this campaign which was the state of iowa decided by eight votes between rick santorum and mitt romney and then oh, by the way the results flipped two weeks later, i've always worried that...
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most recently, we moved to nevada off of the in-playlist on to the leaning democratic list as it becomes clear are the polls and the early voting statistics that president obama was filling out a pretty strong lead in that state. host: so as this map comes together, what tatestate does the los angeles uses to determine? -- los angeles times uses to determine? guest: we use a mixture of things. early in the process, you are relying on republican polls. as the process goes along, two other things factor into it. one is the reporting that our political staff does. we've had reporters in all of the battleground states as the campaign goes along and traveling what both of the presidential and vice presidential candidates. so we get a lot of information from our reporters and that's -- that factors into the map and once early voting gets started, we've been tracking the early vote and that was particularly important in nevada. it was also important in north north carolina. for a while, we have moved north carolina off of our battleground list because it seemed like the public opinion polls wer
most recently, we moved to nevada off of the in-playlist on to the leaning democratic list as it becomes clear are the polls and the early voting statistics that president obama was filling out a pretty strong lead in that state. host: so as this map comes together, what tatestate does the los angeles uses to determine? -- los angeles times uses to determine? guest: we use a mixture of things. early in the process, you are relying on republican polls. as the process goes along, two other things...
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and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if the margin is narrow. >> and the big question is especially for conservative, movement conservatives are going to be asking how did we lose this race? we will be asking the question that democrats and people that write for the new yorker were asking after you lost to george w. bush twice. let's go now to elijah cummings in baltimore, maryland. how's it going, buddy? how are you feeling? >> i feel great. >> are you going to guarantee that the president will carry maryland tonight? are you willing to step out on a limb? >> by at least 25 points. by at l
and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if...
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get geico. >> gretchen: shocking allegations out of nevada as voters head to the polls. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote there. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, it claims the illegals are intentionally being registered and then pressured to vote. >>> 148 victims and family members suing the government now over the massacre at fort hood. they say the defense department is avoiding legal and financial responsibility by calling the shooting a workplace violence attack instead of a terrorist attack. 13 people were killed, including a pregnant woman. guys? >> brian: in 2008, our next guest was a proud supporter of president obama. as a registered democrat and small business owner, he believed a vote for obama meant a vote for job creation. four years later, he decided the president needs to step aside. >> steve: and joining us now is the owner of 35 appleby's franchises in the new york city area. good morning to you. >> good morning. >> steve: why did you switch? >> i guess four yea
get geico. >> gretchen: shocking allegations out of nevada as voters head to the polls. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote there. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, it claims the illegals are intentionally being registered and then pressured to vote. >>> 148 victims and family members suing the government now over the massacre at fort hood. they say the defense department is avoiding legal...